Brighton Summary - October 2024

When it's right to send Google the WRONG data

Key Takeaways

  1. Evolution of Google Ads:

    • Numerous game-changing releases since 2015 (Customer Match, ETAs, PMax, etc.)
    • Increasing reliance on AI (RSAs, PMax, potential future keywordless campaigns)
    • Control taken away from advertisers (exact match changes, search terms restrictions, etc.)
  2. Changing role of PPC professionals:

    • From PPC teachers to PPC doctors to PPC pilots
    • Increased focus on data management and strategic decision-making
  3. The challenge of balancing efficiency and growth:

    • Clients want improved ROAS, lower CPC and CPA, without cutting volume
    • Traditional solutions (bid strategies, ad copy, keyword mix) may not always suffice
  4. Case study: Strategically editing conversion value data

    • Problem: CPC and CPA inflation due to unusually high-value bookings
    • Solution: Capped the value distribution at the 95th percentile
    • Result: 26% increase in ROAS, 9% decrease in CPC, 13% decrease in CPA
  5. Concept of Perverse Incentives:

    • Historical examples: Great Hanoi Rat Massacre, Four Pests Campaign
    • In PPC: How sending "correct" data can lead to undesired outcomes
  6. The importance of strategic data management:

    • What you choose to tell (and not tell) Google is fundamental
    • Balancing first-party data, COGS, budget, etc. against Google's AI-driven features

Action Items

  1. Analyze your conversion value distribution:

    • Identify any outliers or unusual patterns that might be skewing your data
  2. Hypothesize potential perverse incentives in your account:

    • Look for situations where "correct" data might lead to undesired outcomes
  3. Consider testing value capping strategies:

    • Identify high-percentile conversion values that might be inflating CPCs
    • Develop a hypothesis for how capping these values might impact performance
  4. Implement a controlled test of value capping:

    • Apply value capping to a portion of your account or campaigns
    • Monitor key metrics (ROAS, CPC, CPA, conversion volume) closely
  5. Analyze the results of your test:

    • Compare performance metrics before and after implementing value capping
    • Assess whether the strategy improved overall efficiency without significant volume loss
  6. Review your data sharing strategy with Google:

    • Evaluate what data you're currently sharing and its impact on performance
    • Consider if there are areas where sharing less or modified data might be beneficial
  7. Stay informed about Google Ads updates:

    • Regularly review new features and changes to understand how they might impact your control over campaigns
  8. Develop a framework for identifying and addressing perverse incentives:

    • Create a process for regularly reviewing account performance for unexpected outcomes
    • Establish guidelines for when and how to intervene with data manipulation strategies
  9. Educate your team or clients about this approach:

    • Explain the concept of strategic data management and its potential benefits
    • Emphasize the importance of hypothesis-driven testing and careful monitoring

Remember: This strategy may not work for all businesses. Always start with a clear hypothesis, test carefully, and closely monitor results. The goal is to find a balance that improves overall performance while maintaining the integrity of your advertising efforts.

For more information and case studies, visit: https://we-discover.com/case-study/outlier-value-capping-adjusting-google-ads-conversion-value/